The chance of getting an ultra rare drop seems to be around 0.5%.

This is *not counting* Ring of Essence/Endurance or Nano Targeting Helper which seem to be slightly more common, nor BBQ Pillow or Freedom Arms which seem to be even more common.

That leaves us with 0.5% for a chance of the pool of the 25 other rares.

Trying to get one specific rare out of those would be a 0.02% chance.

That’s *on average* 5000 kills per drop.

GUPH seem to have a randomized timer and could be anywhere from 5 minutes to 30+ minutes

If we make up an average time, say 10 minutes per GUPH on average, thats 833,3 hours (or 37.7 days of active gametime) to find the item you’re seeking.

But it doesn’t stop there.

And then you’d probably want that item at the correct quality level to either ;

A: Be able to equip it in the first place

B: Have it high enough Quality level to be useful

So you better hope you get it right the first time!

I support the suggestion, I don’t know the hard coded drop chances, but I have done extensive farming both this and last year, but I suggest running the numbers and double checking the math.

Either we are all incredibly unlucky, or the system is a tough one!